3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,675 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Land
· Active
· 284 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,878/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,831
Tax + insurance
−$340
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$604
Net cashflow
$-897/mo
Annual
$-10,769/yr
Cap rate
4.30%
Cash-on-cash
-7.12%
DSCR
0.68
1% rule
0.53%
Cash to close
$151,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $540k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-897 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $381k (29.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $288k (46.7% below list).
It's been on market 284 days — a 12% lower offer ($475k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $288k (46.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#57 in NJ, #1,498 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, cost of living D-.
Glassboro School District (suburban): math 10% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #412 of 472 in NJ (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 284 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 47% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z7XB1K3RT80XEC
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29