4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,600 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 173 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$875/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$115
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$184
Net cashflow
$420/mo
Annual
$5,036/yr
Cap rate
23.14%
Cash-on-cash
60.15%
DSCR
3.68
1% rule
2.93%
Cash to close
$8,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($875 rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 173 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $453 of equity ($207 loan paydown + $246 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#1,248 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Hoopeston Area CUSD 11 (town): math 9% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #559 of 620 in IL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price.
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 8 units permitted in Vermilion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Vermilion County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 173 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z9RB4Z3SAGZDH5
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29