2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,016 sqft ·
Built 1932
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,906/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$360
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$400
Net cashflow
$-139/mo
Annual
$-1,672/yr
Cap rate
5.61%
Cash-on-cash
-2.44%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-139 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $220k (10.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (22.2% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $191k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#22 in WA, #431 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Bremerton School District (urban): math 36% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #194 of 291 in WA (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 350 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,294 units permitted in Kitsap County in 2024 (302 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kitsap County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.5% in Bremerton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZAFA3HB9X9J2VP
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29