2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
920 sqft ·
Built 1967
· Condo
· Pending
· 111 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,275/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$779
Tax + insurance
−$668
HOA
−$659
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$688
Net cashflow
$481/mo
Annual
$5,770/yr
Cap rate
13.63%
Cash-on-cash
26.19%
DSCR
2.17
1% rule
2.21%
Cash to close
$41,580
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $148k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $148k).
It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $135k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#281 in FL, #4,513 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing B+, health & safety B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Oak Grove Elementary School (math 29% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,787 of 2,144 statewide, top 84%, 472 students, 80% FRL); John F. Kennedy Middle School (math 47% / reading 55%, grade C, #237 of 571 statewide, top 43%, 1,074 students, 67% FRL); North Miami Beach Senior High (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #568 of 667 statewide, top 85%, 1,149 students, 66% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 20% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 287 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 7716% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $29k; list at $148k implies a 412% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 3.6% in Golden Glades — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZAQ9EH7JK36KPW
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29