15201 NE 6th Ave Unit C302 · Golden Glades, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$148,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This exclusive 2 bedroom 2 bathroom condo at Ola Condominiums. A Unique opportunity! Corner unit bringing in natural light and a large balcony. The kitchen has been fully remodeled, and the flooring is brand new! The Master bedroom's bathroom needs remodeling. Great income opportunity Tenant in Place !!!EXELENTE INVESTMENT 8%IN PROFITS!!!!!!!
Key facts
- Natural light
- Large balcony
- Brand new flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $148k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $148k).
- Recommended offer: $135k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 3.6% in Golden Glades — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#281 in FL, #4,513 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing B+, health & safety B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Oak Grove Elementary School (math 29% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,787 of 2,144 statewide, top 84%, 472 students, 80% FRL); John F. Kennedy Middle School (math 47% / reading 55%, grade C, #237 of 571 statewide, top 43%, 1,074 students, 67% FRL); North Miami Beach Senior High (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #568 of 667 statewide, top 85%, 1,149 students, 66% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 287 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 7716% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $29k; list at $148k implies a 412% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 20% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.19%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,323
- Equity at exit
- $22,142
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $3,220
- Equity at exit
- $12,840
Cash invested: $41,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33162
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 287
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,275 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$779
- Tax from tax record
- −$180 /mo · $2,159/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$659
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$688
- Net cashflow
- $481
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $565 | -5% $523 | +0% $481 | +5% $439 | +10% $397 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $222 | -5% $351 | +0% $481 | +5% $610 | +10% $740 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $556 | -0.5pp $519 | base $481 | +0.5pp $442 | +1.0pp $403 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,125
- Closing costs
- $4,455
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $659 · $7,908/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 36 events
-
2025-05-29historical $1,819
-
2025-05-29status Pending
-
2025-05-24price $1,819
-
2025-05-18price $1,820
-
2025-05-15price $1,830
-
2025-05-10price $1,849
-
2025-04-23price $148,500
-
2025-04-16price $149,900
-
2025-04-10price $152,000
-
2025-04-09price $155,000
-
2025-04-08price $165,000
-
2025-04-03price $169,500
-
2025-03-27price $170,000
-
2025-03-16price $1,850
-
2025-03-11price $175,000
-
2025-03-03price $179,000
-
2025-02-19$1,900
-
2025-02-07$179,900 Active
-
2024-07-31historical
-
2024-05-27historical $1,950
-
2024-05-27$185,000 Active
-
2024-05-13price $1,950
-
2024-04-24historical
-
2024-04-23status Active
-
2024-04-19status Pending
-
2024-04-12$2,100
-
2024-03-23status Active
-
2024-03-19historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-03-15status Active
-
2024-02-23historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-02-03$185,000 Active
-
2013-07-22soldstatus $29,000
-
2013-07-15soldstatus $29,000 Closed
-
2013-06-22status Pending
-
2013-05-07$29,500 New
-
2006-07-01soldstatus $168,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,159 · $180/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,159 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,294
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,318
- − Property taxes
- −$2,159
- − Insurance
- −$5,861
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,144
- − Management
- −$3,144
- − HOA
- −$7,908
- − Depreciation
- −$4,320
- Taxable income
- $4,441
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,066
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,704/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Golden Glades
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #281
- US rank
- #4513
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Golden Glades, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,606
- Household income
- $60,692
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2509.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 15% White 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 7% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 31% Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 52% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 35% Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -445.57%
- Current HPI
- 596.6178
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.59%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-98.9% since first listed36 events — show timeline
- 2025-05-29 Rental Removed $1,819 MARMLS
- 2025-05-29 Pending — MARMLS
- 2025-05-24 Price Changed $1,819 MARMLS
- 2025-05-18 Price Changed $1,820 MARMLS
- 2025-05-15 Price Changed $1,830 MARMLS
- 2025-05-10 Price Changed $1,849 MARMLS
- 2025-04-23 Price Changed $148,500 MARMLS
- 2025-04-16 Price Changed $149,900 MARMLS
- 2025-04-10 Price Changed $152,000 MARMLS
- 2025-04-09 Price Changed $155,000 MARMLS
- 2025-04-08 Price Changed $165,000 MARMLS
- 2025-04-03 Price Changed $169,500 MARMLS
- 2025-03-27 Price Changed $170,000 MARMLS
- 2025-03-16 Price Changed $1,850 MARMLS
- 2025-03-11 Price Changed $175,000 MARMLS
- 2025-03-03 Price Changed $179,000 MARMLS
- 2025-02-19 Listed for Rent $1,900 MARMLS
- 2025-02-07 Listed $179,900 MARMLS
- 2024-07-31 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2024-05-27 Rental Removed $1,950 MARMLS
- 2024-05-27 Listed $185,000 MARMLS
- 2024-05-13 Price Changed $1,950 MARMLS
- 2024-04-24 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2024-04-23 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2024-04-19 Pending — MARMLS
- 2024-04-12 Listed for Rent $2,100 MARMLS
- 2024-03-23 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2024-03-19 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2024-03-15 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2024-02-23 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2024-02-03 Listed $185,000 MARMLS
- 2013-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
- 2013-07-15 Sold (MLS) $29,000 Beaches MLS
- 2013-06-22 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2013-05-07 Listed $29,500 Beaches MLS
- 2006-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $168,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+17.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,159 · -8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…