56 bd · 49.0 ba ·
4,589 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$13,453/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,239
Tax + insurance
−$1,443
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,825
Net cashflow
$3,946/mo
Annual
$47,349/yr
Cap rate
11.03%
Cash-on-cash
16.93%
DSCR
1.75
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$279,720
Investor read
This is a 6×1bd/1ba + 1×2bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $999k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($47k/yr) — positive. Per door: $564/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $999k).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($969k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $969k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#2 in RI, #794 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F.
Providence (urban): math 8% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #34 of 39 in RI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $10k; list at $999k implies a 9964% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $280k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.2% in Providence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $13,453/mo this rent would consume 250% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 2000% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29