3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,574 sqft ·
Built 1954
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 85 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,422/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,832
Tax + insurance
−$1,188
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$929
Net cashflow
$-526/mo
Annual
$-6,317/yr
Cap rate
5.12%
Cash-on-cash
-4.18%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$151,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $540k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-526 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $447k (17.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $442k (18.1% below list).
It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($508k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $442k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#171 in NY, #2,673 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
South Huntington Union Free School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #290 of 590 in NY (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Walt Whitman High School (math 96% / reading 94%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 1,991 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 36% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 95% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+44 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the South Huntington Union Free School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 313 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $540k implies a 980% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.2% in South Huntington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($165k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZBY7G615X7595N
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29