🏷️ Likely Rental
21 Ruby Ln · South Huntington, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.1/30.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$540,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tenant OCCUPIED. DO NOT DISTURB. Completely renovated and move-in ready, this charming Cape offers the perfect blend of classic style and modern updates. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 beautifully updated full bathrooms, the home has been thoughtfully redesigned with today’s buyer in mind. Step inside to find a bright and inviting layout with updated flooring, a stylish kitchen with modern finishes, and refreshed bathrooms with clean, contemporary details. The flexible floor plan provides comfortable living space with room to grow. Additional highlights include a full unfinished basement—perfect for storage or future expansion—and a detached one-car garage for added convenience. With all the major updates already completed, this home offers low-maintenance living and peace of mind.
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Renovated
- Flexible floor plan
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $540k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-526 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $447k (17.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $442k (18.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $442k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.2% in South Huntington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#171 in NY, #2,673 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- South Huntington Union Free School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #290 of 590 in NY (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Walt Whitman High School (math 96% / reading 94%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 1,991 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 36% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 95% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+44 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the South Huntington Union Free School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 313 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($165k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($508k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $540k implies a 980% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.18%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $720,918
- List price
- $540,000
- Delta
- -25.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 E Cortelyou St | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,600 (+2%) | 3mo | $649,000 | $406 | 74 |
| 55 Bogart St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+8%) | 2mo | $610,000 | $359 | 70 |
| 215 Beverly Rd | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+2%) | 6mo | $620,000 | $388 | 66 |
| 230 Cook St | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,720 (+9%) | 5mo | $715,000 | $416 | 63 |
| 77 Lodge Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,500 (-5%) | 6mo | $580,000 | $387 | 62 |
| 23 Birchwood Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-11%) | 6mo | $685,000 | $489 | 58 |
| 8 Nicolette Ct | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 1,800 (+14%) | 7mo | $675,000 | $375 | 53 |
| 27 Nichols Rd | 0.39mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,400 (-11%) | 6mo | $662,500 | $473 | 51 |
| 5 Cooper Ave | 0.40mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,800 (+14%) | 6mo | $790,000 | $439 | 46 |
| 9 Melville Rd N | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (-14%) | 4mo | $610,000 | $452 | 45 |
| 93 Birchwood Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (+14%) | 5mo | $800,000 | $444 | 40 |
| 107 Lodge Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,381 (-12%) | 8mo | $803,000 | $581 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.54% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-113,830
- Equity at exit
- $80,516
- IRR
- -11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-111,841
- Equity at exit
- $46,689
Cash invested: $151,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11746
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 313
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,422 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,832
- Tax from tax record
- −$963 /mo · $11,560/yr
- Insurance
- −$225
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$929
- Net cashflow
- $-526
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-221 | -5% $-374 | +0% $-526 | +5% $-679 | +10% $-832 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-876 | -5% $-701 | +0% $-526 | +5% $-352 | +10% $-177 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-254 | -0.5pp $-389 | base $-526 | +0.5pp $-666 | +1.0pp $-809 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $135,000
- Closing costs
- $16,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Craig Dr Huntington Station, NY | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2100 | $5,000 | $2.38 | 3d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 21A Thorney Ave Huntington Station, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $4,500 | $2.98 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $540,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $540,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $540,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $540,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $540,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $540,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $540,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $540,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $540,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $540,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $540,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $540,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $540,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $540,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-04-28price $570,000 815-char remark
Show marketing remark (815 chars)
Tenant OCCUPIED. DO NOT DISTURB. Completely renovated and move-in ready, this charming Cape offers the perfect blend of classic style and modern updates. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 beautifully updated full bathrooms, the home has been thoughtfully redesigned with today’s buyer in mind. Step inside to find a bright and inviting layout with updated flooring, a stylish kitchen with modern finishes, and refreshed bathrooms with clean, contemporary details. The flexible floor plan provides comfortable living space with room to grow. Additional highlights include a full unfinished basement—perfect for storage or future expansion—and a detached one-car garage for added convenience. With all the major updates already completed, this home offers low-maintenance living and peace of mind.
-
2026-03-25$600,000 Active 815-char remark
Show marketing remark (815 chars)
Tenant OCCUPIED. DO NOT DISTURB. Completely renovated and move-in ready, this charming Cape offers the perfect blend of classic style and modern updates. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 beautifully updated full bathrooms, the home has been thoughtfully redesigned with today’s buyer in mind. Step inside to find a bright and inviting layout with updated flooring, a stylish kitchen with modern finishes, and refreshed bathrooms with clean, contemporary details. The flexible floor plan provides comfortable living space with room to grow. Additional highlights include a full unfinished basement—perfect for storage or future expansion—and a detached one-car garage for added convenience. With all the major updates already completed, this home offers low-maintenance living and peace of mind.
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2023-11-30historical $4,650
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2023-10-04$4,650
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1979-04-12soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $11,560 · $963/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,560 · $963/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $53,069
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,248
- − Property taxes
- −$11,560
- − Insurance
- −$2,700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,246
- − Management
- −$4,246
- − Depreciation
- −$15,709
- Taxable loss
- −$15,639
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,753
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,564/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Huntington Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3627300
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $92,630
- Composite
- 48.08/100
- National rank
- #2189
- State rank
- #290 of 590 in NY
Livability — South Huntington
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #2673
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Huntington, NY
- County
- Suffolk County · 679,920 people
- City population
- 65,747
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,747
- Household income
- $164,589
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 627.0
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 10% Asian 8% Black 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -715.60%
- Current HPI
- 317.5657
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+1040.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $570,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Listed $600,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-30 Rental Removed $4,650 ONEKEY
- 2023-10-04 Listed for Rent $4,650 ONEKEY
- 1979-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.6%/yrLatest (2025): $11,560 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…