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21 Ruby Ln 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 43.28
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$540,000

21 Ruby Ln · South Huntington, NY 11746
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,574 sqft · SingleFamily · 85 Days on market
Built 1954 0.25 ac lot $343/sqft · 25% below area Est $721k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tenant OCCUPIED. DO NOT DISTURB. Completely renovated and move-in ready, this charming Cape offers the perfect blend of classic style and modern updates. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 beautifully updated full bathrooms, the home has been thoughtfully redesigned with today’s buyer in mind. Step inside to find a bright and inviting layout with updated flooring, a stylish kitchen with modern finishes, and refreshed bathrooms with clean, contemporary details. The flexible floor plan provides comfortable living space with room to grow. Additional highlights include a full unfinished basement—perfect for storage or future expansion—and a detached one-car garage for added convenience. With all the major updates already completed, this home offers low-maintenance living and peace of mind.

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Renovated
  • Flexible floor plan

Tags

RENOVATEDMOVE-IN READYUPDATED FLOORINGSTYLISH KITCHENREFRESHED BATHROOMSFLEXIBLE FLOOR PLAN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $540,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$720,918) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $540k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-526 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $447k (17.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $442k (18.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $442k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.2% in South Huntington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#171 in NY, #2,673 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
  • South Huntington Union Free School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #290 of 590 in NY (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Walt Whitman High School (math 96% / reading 94%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 1,991 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 36% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 95% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+44 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the South Huntington Union Free School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 313 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($165k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($508k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $540k implies a 980% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $442,243 (18.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.12%
Cash-on-cash
-4.18%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$720,918
List price
$540,000
Delta
-25.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16 E Cortelyou St 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,600 (+2%) 3mo $649,000 $406 74
55 Bogart St 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,700 (+8%) 2mo $610,000 $359 70
215 Beverly Rd 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,600 (+2%) 6mo $620,000 $388 66
230 Cook St 0.33mi 3/1.5 1,720 (+9%) 5mo $715,000 $416 63
77 Lodge Ave 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,500 (-5%) 6mo $580,000 $387 62
23 Birchwood Dr 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-11%) 6mo $685,000 $489 58
8 Nicolette Ct 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,800 (+14%) 7mo $675,000 $375 53
27 Nichols Rd 0.39mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,400 (-11%) 6mo $662,500 $473 51
5 Cooper Ave 0.40mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,800 (+14%) 6mo $790,000 $439 46
9 Melville Rd N 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,350 (-14%) 4mo $610,000 $452 45
93 Birchwood Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,800 (+14%) 5mo $800,000 $444 40
107 Lodge Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,381 (-12%) 8mo $803,000 $581 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.4%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-113,830
Equity at exit
$80,516
10-year hold
IRR
-11.5%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-111,841
Equity at exit
$46,689

Cash invested: $151,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 11746

Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
313
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,422 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,832
Tax from tax record
$963 /mo · $11,560/yr
Insurance
$225
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$929
Net cashflow
$-526

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,089
Max offer price $447,006
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-221 -5% $-374 +0% $-526 +5% $-679 +10% $-832
Rent -10% $-876 -5% $-701 +0% $-526 +5% $-352 +10% $-177
Rate -1.0pp $-254 -0.5pp $-389 base $-526 +0.5pp $-666 +1.0pp $-809

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$135,000
Closing costs
$16,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
23 Craig Dr Huntington Station, NY 3.0 3.0 2100 $5,000 $2.38 3d 1 0.89mi
21A Thorney Ave Huntington Station, NY 4.0 2.0 1512 $4,500 $2.98 23d 1 0.89mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $540,000 Active 85 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $540,000 Active 82 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $540,000 Active 81 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $540,000 Active 80 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $540,000 Active 79 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $540,000 Active 77 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $540,000 Active 73 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $540,000 Active 72 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $540,000 Active 71 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $540,000 Active 68 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $540,000 Active 67 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $540,000 Active 66 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $540,000 Active 65 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $540,000 Active 64 DOM
  15. 2026-04-28
    price $570,000 815-char remark
    Show marketing remark (815 chars)

    Tenant OCCUPIED. DO NOT DISTURB. Completely renovated and move-in ready, this charming Cape offers the perfect blend of classic style and modern updates. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 beautifully updated full bathrooms, the home has been thoughtfully redesigned with today’s buyer in mind. Step inside to find a bright and inviting layout with updated flooring, a stylish kitchen with modern finishes, and refreshed bathrooms with clean, contemporary details. The flexible floor plan provides comfortable living space with room to grow. Additional highlights include a full unfinished basement—perfect for storage or future expansion—and a detached one-car garage for added convenience. With all the major updates already completed, this home offers low-maintenance living and peace of mind.

  16. 2026-03-25
    listed $600,000 Active 815-char remark
    Show marketing remark (815 chars)

    Tenant OCCUPIED. DO NOT DISTURB. Completely renovated and move-in ready, this charming Cape offers the perfect blend of classic style and modern updates. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 beautifully updated full bathrooms, the home has been thoughtfully redesigned with today’s buyer in mind. Step inside to find a bright and inviting layout with updated flooring, a stylish kitchen with modern finishes, and refreshed bathrooms with clean, contemporary details. The flexible floor plan provides comfortable living space with room to grow. Additional highlights include a full unfinished basement—perfect for storage or future expansion—and a detached one-car garage for added convenience. With all the major updates already completed, this home offers low-maintenance living and peace of mind.

  17. 2023-11-30
    historical $4,650
  18. 2023-10-04
    listed $4,650
  19. 1979-04-12
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$11,560 · $963/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$11,560 · $963/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$53,069
− Mortgage interest
−$30,248
− Property taxes
−$11,560
− Insurance
−$2,700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,246
− Management
−$4,246
− Depreciation
−$15,709
Taxable loss
−$15,639
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,753
After-tax cash flow
$-2,564/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Huntington Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3627300
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$92,630
Composite
48.08/100
National rank
#2189
State rank
#290 of 590 in NY

Livability — South Huntington

Score
78/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#2673

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Huntington, NY
County
Suffolk County · 679,920 people
City population
65,747
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
65,747
Household income
$164,589
Rent vs Own
14.2% rent · 85.8% own
Severe rent burden
627.0

Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,505,262 people
By 2030
1,498,318 · -0.5%
By 2040
1,471,101 · -2.3%
By 2050
1,424,848 · -5.3%
By 2075
1,337,157 · -11.2%
By 2100
1,217,720 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 10% Asian 8% Black 7% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk

2024 margin
Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
2008→2024 swing
-16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -715.60%
Current HPI
317.5657
Rent YoY
▲ 4.54%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1040.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $570,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $600,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-30 Rental Removed $4,650 ONEKEY
  • 2023-10-04 Listed for Rent $4,650 ONEKEY
  • 1979-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $11,560 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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