3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,294 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 262 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,262/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$220
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$265
Net cashflow
$-271/mo
Annual
$-3,248/yr
Cap rate
4.67%
Cash-on-cash
-5.80%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-271 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $152k (23.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (36.8% below list).
It's been on market 262 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $126k (36.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#398 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Eustis-Farnam Public Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #175 of 245 in NE (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Elementary School At Eustis (math 44% / reading 34%, grade F, #346 of 502 statewide, top 74%, 87 students, 16% FRL); Eustis-Farnam High School (math 30% / reading 30%, grade F, #233 of 261 statewide, top 90%, 79 students, 20% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 61 units permitted in Dawson County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dawson County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $83k; list at $200k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 262 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 37 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29