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522 Main St
D Composite 44.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.3/10.0

$199,900

522 Main St · Farnam, NE 69029
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,294 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 261 Days on market
Built 1900 0.32 ac lot $87/sqft · at area comps Est $252k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don't miss this Large Victorian Family home, Move in Ready with lots of updates, it sits on a double lot and has a large heated 3 car garage. Lots of big windows through out to make it light and bright. It has a nice layout that leads to a large kitchen with lots of storage and a pantry. All the bedrooms are good size with an extra large primary bedroom. Large fenced in backyard with a deck, screened in porch and storage shed. Oversized 3 car garage that is insulated and heated with plenty of room for 3 large vehicles and workshop space. This Property will check all the boxes call to see it today.

Key facts

  • Pantry
  • Screened in porch
  • Fenced in backyard

Tags

DOUBLE LOTLARGE KITCHENPANTRYFENCED IN BACKYARDDECKSCREENED IN PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-271 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $152k (23.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (36.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (36.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#398 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Eustis-Farnam Public Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #175 of 245 in NE (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Elementary School At Eustis (math 44% / reading 34%, grade F, #346 of 502 statewide, top 74%, 87 students, 16% FRL); Eustis-Farnam High School (math 30% / reading 30%, grade F, #233 of 261 statewide, top 90%, 79 students, 20% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 61 units permitted in Dawson County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
  • Dawson County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 261 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $83k; list at $200k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $126,245 (36.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 261 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.63%
Cap rate
4.67%
Cash-on-cash
-5.80%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
13.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$252,000
List price
$199,900
Delta
-20.67%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
611 Antelope St 0.23mi 3/2.0 2,250 (-2%) 5mo $289,000 $128 82
504 Crockett St 0.14mi 3/3.0 2,160 (-6%) 1mo $215,000 $100 79
609 Lincoln St 0.10mi 2/2.0 (-1) 2,006 (-13%) 3mo $125,000 $62 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$25,248
Equity at exit
$109,516
10-year hold
IRR
9.2%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$92,902
Equity at exit
$185,969

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 69029

Home prices YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
13.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,262 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,637/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$-271

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,605
Max offer price $152,091
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-157 -5% $-214 +0% $-271 +5% $-327 +10% $-384
Rent -10% $-370 -5% $-321 +0% $-271 +5% $-221 +10% $-171
Rate -1.0pp $-170 -0.5pp $-220 base $-271 +0.5pp $-322 +1.0pp $-375

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,900 Active 261 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,900 Active 260 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 258 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 257 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 256 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 255 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active 253 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $199,900 Active 252 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,900 Active 249 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,900 Active 248 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,900 Active 247 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,900 Active 246 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $199,900 Active 243 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,900 Active 242 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,900 Active 241 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,900 Active 240 DOM
  17. 2025-11-26
    price $199,900 604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Don't miss this Large Victorian Family home, Move in Ready with lots of updates, it sits on a double lot and has a large heated 3 car garage. Lots of big windows through out to make it light and bright. It has a nice layout that leads to a large kitchen with lots of storage and a pantry. All the bedrooms are good size with an extra large primary bedroom. Large fenced in backyard with a deck, screened in porch and storage shed. Oversized 3 car garage that is insulated and heated with plenty of room for 3 large vehicles and workshop space. This Property will check all the boxes call to see it today.

  18. 2025-10-03
    listed $219,900 Active 604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Don't miss this Large Victorian Family home, Move in Ready with lots of updates, it sits on a double lot and has a large heated 3 car garage. Lots of big windows through out to make it light and bright. It has a nice layout that leads to a large kitchen with lots of storage and a pantry. All the bedrooms are good size with an extra large primary bedroom. Large fenced in backyard with a deck, screened in porch and storage shed. Oversized 3 car garage that is insulated and heated with plenty of room for 3 large vehicles and workshop space. This Property will check all the boxes call to see it today.

  19. 2015-04-09
    soldstatus $83,000 252-char remark
    Show marketing remark (252 chars)

    gorgeous victorian home 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths and a 3 car garage on a hugh well landscaped lot, hardwood floors wood burning stove, large kitchen, and hugh master bedroom. A screened in sun room and so much more. Very Charming home come take a look-

  20. 2015-04-06
    soldstatus $83,000
  21. 2014-02-24
    listed $88,500 252-char remark
    Show marketing remark (252 chars)

    gorgeous victorian home 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths and a 3 car garage on a hugh well landscaped lot, hardwood floors wood burning stove, large kitchen, and hugh master bedroom. A screened in sun room and so much more. Very Charming home come take a look-

  22. 1999-04-19
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,637 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,458 · $288/mo
Expected delta
+$1,822/yr (+$152/mo · 111.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,149
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$1,637
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,212
− Management
−$1,212
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$6,923
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,662
After-tax cash flow
$-1,586/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Eustis-Farnam Public Schools
NCES district ID
3100111
Math proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$53,125
Composite
41.16/100
National rank
#7417
State rank
#175 of 245 in NE

Livability — Farnam

Score
63/100
State rank
#398
US rank
#15134

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Farnam, NE
Population (ZIP)
293

Population outlook (Dawson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,318 people
By 2030
22,912 · -1.7%
By 2040
22,097 · -5.2%
By 2050
21,358 · -8.4%
By 2075
19,801 · -15.1%
By 2100
17,647 · -24.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dawson

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.6) · D 24.7% · R 74.3%
2008→2024 swing
-11.3pp toward R · 2008: -38.3pp · 2024: -49.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.6 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+45.0 2012: R+41.8 2008: R+38.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.69%
Current HPI
174.1236
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+524.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-26 Price Changed $199,900 GMNMLS
  • 2025-10-03 Listed $219,900 GMNMLS
  • 2015-04-09 Sold (MLS) $83,000 GMNMLS
  • 2015-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
  • 2014-02-24 Listed $88,500 GMNMLS
  • 1999-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,637 · +50.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…