522 Main St · Farnam, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.3/30.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
- 1% rule +1.3/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss this Large Victorian Family home, Move in Ready with lots of updates, it sits on a double lot and has a large heated 3 car garage. Lots of big windows through out to make it light and bright. It has a nice layout that leads to a large kitchen with lots of storage and a pantry. All the bedrooms are good size with an extra large primary bedroom. Large fenced in backyard with a deck, screened in porch and storage shed. Oversized 3 car garage that is insulated and heated with plenty of room for 3 large vehicles and workshop space. This Property will check all the boxes call to see it today.
Key facts
- Pantry
- Screened in porch
- Fenced in backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-271 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $152k (23.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (36.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $126k (36.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#398 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Eustis-Farnam Public Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #175 of 245 in NE (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Elementary School At Eustis (math 44% / reading 34%, grade F, #346 of 502 statewide, top 74%, 87 students, 16% FRL); Eustis-Farnam High School (math 30% / reading 30%, grade F, #233 of 261 statewide, top 90%, 79 students, 20% FRL).
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 61 units permitted in Dawson County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
- Dawson County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 261 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $83k; list at $200k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 261 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.63% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.80%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 13.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $252,000
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -20.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 611 Antelope St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 2,250 (-2%) | 5mo | $289,000 | $128 | 82 |
| 504 Crockett St | 0.14mi | 3/3.0 | 2,160 (-6%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $100 | 79 |
| 609 Lincoln St | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,006 (-13%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $62 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $25,248
- Equity at exit
- $109,516
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.66×
- Total profit
- $92,902
- Equity at exit
- $185,969
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 69029
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 13.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,262 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,637/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $-271
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-157 | -5% $-214 | +0% $-271 | +5% $-327 | +10% $-384 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-370 | -5% $-321 | +0% $-271 | +5% $-221 | +10% $-171 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-170 | -0.5pp $-220 | base $-271 | +0.5pp $-322 | +1.0pp $-375 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,900 Active 261 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $199,900 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $199,900 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 247 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,900 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 240 DOM
-
2025-11-26price $199,900 604-char remark
Show marketing remark (604 chars)
Don't miss this Large Victorian Family home, Move in Ready with lots of updates, it sits on a double lot and has a large heated 3 car garage. Lots of big windows through out to make it light and bright. It has a nice layout that leads to a large kitchen with lots of storage and a pantry. All the bedrooms are good size with an extra large primary bedroom. Large fenced in backyard with a deck, screened in porch and storage shed. Oversized 3 car garage that is insulated and heated with plenty of room for 3 large vehicles and workshop space. This Property will check all the boxes call to see it today.
-
2025-10-03$219,900 Active 604-char remark
Show marketing remark (604 chars)
Don't miss this Large Victorian Family home, Move in Ready with lots of updates, it sits on a double lot and has a large heated 3 car garage. Lots of big windows through out to make it light and bright. It has a nice layout that leads to a large kitchen with lots of storage and a pantry. All the bedrooms are good size with an extra large primary bedroom. Large fenced in backyard with a deck, screened in porch and storage shed. Oversized 3 car garage that is insulated and heated with plenty of room for 3 large vehicles and workshop space. This Property will check all the boxes call to see it today.
-
2015-04-09soldstatus $83,000 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
gorgeous victorian home 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths and a 3 car garage on a hugh well landscaped lot, hardwood floors wood burning stove, large kitchen, and hugh master bedroom. A screened in sun room and so much more. Very Charming home come take a look-
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2015-04-06soldstatus $83,000
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2014-02-24$88,500 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
gorgeous victorian home 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths and a 3 car garage on a hugh well landscaped lot, hardwood floors wood burning stove, large kitchen, and hugh master bedroom. A screened in sun room and so much more. Very Charming home come take a look-
-
1999-04-19soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,637 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,458 · $288/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,822/yr (+$152/mo · 111.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,149
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$1,637
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,212
- − Management
- −$1,212
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$6,923
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,662
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,586/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eustis-Farnam Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3100111
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,125
- Composite
- 41.16/100
- National rank
- #7417
- State rank
- #175 of 245 in NE
Livability — Farnam
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #398
- US rank
- #15134
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Farnam, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 293
Population outlook (Dawson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,318 people
- By 2030
- 22,912 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 22,097 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 21,358 · -8.4%
- By 2075
- 19,801 · -15.1%
- By 2100
- 17,647 · -24.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dawson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.6) · D 24.7% · R 74.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.3pp toward R · 2008: -38.3pp · 2024: -49.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.6 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+45.0 2012: R+41.8 2008: R+38.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.69%
- Current HPI
- 174.1236
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+524.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-26 Price Changed $199,900 GMNMLS
- 2025-10-03 Listed $219,900 GMNMLS
- 2015-04-09 Sold (MLS) $83,000 GMNMLS
- 2015-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
- 2014-02-24 Listed $88,500 GMNMLS
- 1999-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,637 · +50.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…