2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,154 sqft ·
Built 1926
· Other
· Active
· 226 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,004/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$238
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$211
Net cashflow
$-100/mo
Annual
$-1,206/yr
Cap rate
5.33%
Cash-on-cash
-3.45%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-100 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $107k (14.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (19.7% below list).
It's been on market 226 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#472 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
El Paso-Gridley CUSD 11 (town): math 31% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #183 of 620 in IL (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Woodford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Woodford County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $85k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 226 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZCK58BAV2F3E18
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29