2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,072 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 317 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$978/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$58
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$205
Net cashflow
$531/mo
Annual
$6,372/yr
Cap rate
24.50%
Cash-on-cash
65.02%
DSCR
3.89
1% rule
2.80%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $531 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($978 rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 317 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#293 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Bracken County (rural): math 27% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #86 of 165 in KY (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Taylor Elementary School (math 29% / reading 31%, grade F, #388 of 676 statewide, top 58%, 522 students, 53% FRL); Bracken County Middle School (math 28% / reading 47%, grade F, #73 of 217 statewide, top 36%, 259 students, 53% FRL); Bracken County High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #202 of 254 statewide, top 82%, 364 students, 54% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP.
Bracken County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $22k; list at $35k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 317 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZD15428KXS65G4
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29