3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,612 sqft ·
Built 1999
· Land
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,298/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$233
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$273
Net cashflow
$59/mo
Annual
$705/yr
Cap rate
6.80%
Cash-on-cash
1.80%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($705/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (7.2% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $130k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#234 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
Worth County (town): math 28% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #91 of 174 in GA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 26 units permitted in Worth County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Worth County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $140k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZDSDS3AKXH63FR
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29