3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,018 sqft ·
Built 1948
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 148 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,056/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$131
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$432
Net cashflow
$1,101/mo
Annual
$13,214/yr
Cap rate
23.94%
Cash-on-cash
63.01%
DSCR
3.80
1% rule
2.75%
Cash to close
$20,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (9.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#650 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing D, crime F, amenities F.
Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: District No 7 Elementary (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #354 of 1,410 statewide, top 28%, 195 students, 98% FRL); Mac Williams Middle (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 1,151 students, 58% FRL); Cape Fear High (math 75% / reading 47%, grade C+, #202 of 535 statewide, top 39%, 1,529 students, 50% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cumberland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (9.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 23.9% vs local median 4.3% in Wade — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
Major: exterior siding
— The exterior siding is peeling and in need of repainting.
Major: flooring
— The flooring in the interior appears to be carpeted and in need of replacement.
Major: interior walls
— The interior walls appear to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
Major: bathrooms
— The bathrooms appear to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
Major: kitchen
— The kitchen appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29