0 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,240 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Manufactured
· Active
· 108 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,278/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,023
Tax + insurance
−$123
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$268
Net cashflow
$-136/mo
Annual
$-1,631/yr
Cap rate
5.46%
Cash-on-cash
-2.99%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$54,600
Investor read
This is a ?-bed/2.5-bath manufactured listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-136 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (12.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (34.5% below list).
It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $128k (34.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#3 in ID, #428 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
Bonneville Joint District (suburban): math 41% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #30 of 92 in ID (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Summit Hills Elementary School (math 39% / reading 55%, grade D-, #176 of 357 statewide, top 53%, 503 students, 35% FRL); Rocky Mountain Middle School (math 39% / reading 59%, grade C-, #34 of 109 statewide, top 34%, 536 students, 32% FRL); Bonneville High School (math 33% / reading 64%, grade D, #51 of 169 statewide, top 30%, 1,128 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 30% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 399 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,253 units permitted in Bonneville County in 2024 (1,051 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bonneville County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZEEMQ41CRJ0C22
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29