3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,218 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 266 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,091/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$572
Tax + insurance
−$182
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$229
Net cashflow
$109/mo
Annual
$1,305/yr
Cap rate
7.49%
Cash-on-cash
4.27%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$30,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $109 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
It's been on market 266 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#314 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Natchitoches Parish (town): math 29% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #41 of 98 in LA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 95 units permitted in Natchitoches Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Natchitoches County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 266 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Kitchen cabinets
— Worn and dated appearance.
Moderate: Appliances
— Outdated and possibly not functioning.
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown and unkempt appearance.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29