416 Marietta St

Crowell, TX 79227

$12,500D+

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,029 sqft · Built 1950 · SingleFamily · Active · 46 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $954/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$66
• Tax + insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$200
• Net cashflow: $668/mo
• Annual: $8,010/yr
• Cap rate: 70.37%
• Cash-on-cash: 228.86%
• DSCR: 11.18
• 1% rule: 7.63%
• Cash to close: $3,500

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $12k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $668 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($954 rent vs $12k).
• It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($12k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $12k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $180 of equity ($86 loan paydown + $94 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#511 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
• Crowell ISD (rural): math 40% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #917 of 1,141 in TX (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP.
• Foard County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.