2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 1900
· Townhouse
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,296/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$745
Tax + insurance
−$324
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$272
Net cashflow
$-44/mo
Annual
$-532/yr
Cap rate
6.39%
Cash-on-cash
0.34%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$39,760
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $142k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-44 ($-532/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $134k (5.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (8.7% below list).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $130k (8.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($982 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#1,272 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Steelton-Highspire SD (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #538 of 539 in PA (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Steelton-Highspire El Sch (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,491 of 1,518 statewide, top 98%, 738 students, 100% FRL); Steelton-Highspire Hs (math 2% / reading 6%, grade F, #434 of 437 statewide, top 99%, 599 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 68% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $142k implies a 171% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.0% in Highspire — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZFACJ325MZRHRD
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29