4 bd · 6.0 ba ·
2,739 sqft ·
Built 2010
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 106 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$20,302/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$11,013
Tax + insurance
−$2,650
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,263
Net cashflow
$2,376/mo
Annual
$28,514/yr
Cap rate
7.65%
Cash-on-cash
4.85%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$588,000
Investor read
This is a 6 × 4-bed/6.0-bath units multifamily listed at $2.10M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($29k/yr) — positive. Per door: $396/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $2.03M (3.3% below list).
It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.91M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.91M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $15k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $38k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in CA, #4,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, cost of living F.
San Diego Unified (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #393 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 515 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $1.44M; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.0% in San Diego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $20,302/mo this rent would consume 266% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) (locally 5603% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZG3WYC3KSSB7TS
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29