2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,875 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,717/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$372
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$360
Net cashflow
$-432/mo
Annual
$-5,184/yr
Cap rate
4.37%
Cash-on-cash
-6.86%
DSCR
0.69
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-432 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (28.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (36.4% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $172k (36.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Eastridge Elementary School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #161 of 502 statewide, top 38%, 282 students, 36% FRL); Lefler Middle School (math 46% / reading 45%, grade D+, #63 of 128 statewide, top 50%, 613 students, 61% FRL); Lincoln East High School (math 58% / reading 60%, grade C+, #69 of 261 statewide, top 26%, 2,268 students, 21% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.1% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZGTRZ46J83MWBY
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29