4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
4,983 sqft ·
Built 2002
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 84 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,384/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$9,702
Tax + insurance
−$1,165
HOA
−$125
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,551
Net cashflow
$-5,158/mo
Annual
$-61,902/yr
Cap rate
2.95%
Cash-on-cash
-11.95%
DSCR
0.47
1% rule
0.40%
Cash to close
$518,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $1.85M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5k ($-62k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $939k (49.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $738k (60.1% below list).
It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.74M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $738k (60.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $68k of equity ($13k loan paydown + $56k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#18 in ID, #2,702 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, cost of living F.
Joint School District No. 2 (suburban): math 53% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #11 of 92 in ID (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Paramount Elementary School (math 81% / reading 77%, grade A, #7 of 357 statewide, top 2%, 501 students, 11% FRL); Rocky Mountain High School (math 47% / reading 76%, grade B-, #18 of 169 statewide, top 10%, 1,917 students, 8% FRL).
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,129 units permitted in Ada County in 2024 (414 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ada County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$111k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 2.9% vs local median 1.1% in Eagle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 60% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29