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3236 S Kingsbury Way
D- Composite 38.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.0/30.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$1,850,000

3236 S Kingsbury Way · Eagle, ID 83616-6781
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 4,983 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 84 Days on market
Built 2002 1.00 ac lot Est $2731k · 32% under $125/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Exceptional one-acre estate in Eagle’s highly desirable Castlebury neighborhood. This stunning home offers 5 bedrooms, 4 baths, and a main-level executive office that could easily serve as a 6th bedroom. The gourmet kitchen boasts a granite island with prep sink and storage, double oven, 5-burner cooktop, and generous pantry, flowing seamlessly into the sun-drenched eating area and formal dining room—perfect for family meals or entertaining. The main-level master suite is a true retreat with a coffered lit ceiling, wine cooler, jetted tub, dual vanity, walk-in shower, wall of windows, and private patio access. Enjoy gatherings in the great room with fireplace and built-in cherry

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Gourmet kitchen
  • Granite island

Tags

ONE ACRE ESTATEMAIN LEVEL EXECUTIVE OFFICEGOURMET KITCHENGRANITE ISLANDSUN DRENCHED EATING AREAFORMAL DINING ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: R-1; Current use: Single family; Subdivision: Castlebury; MLS area: Eagle - 0900
  • HOA & community: Annual association fee of $1,500

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 4 covered spaces; RV access/parking; Finished driveway
  • Utilities: Septic tank; City water service and shared well; Cable connected; Broadband internet
  • Home design: Single-family home with acreage; Built in 2002
  • Construction: Frame, stone and stucco exterior; Crawl space foundation; Architectural-style roof
  • Exterior features: Partial metal fencing; Covered patio/deck; 1–4.99 acre lot; Garden; Irrigation available; Auto sprinkler/full sprinkler/pressurized irrigation system; Sidewalks; Public paved road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Double oven; Microwave; Built-in oven/range; Gas range; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Pantry; Granite counters; Breakfast bar
  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms (primary on main level; others on upper level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Engineered wood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 4 bathrooms
  • Fireplace: One gas fireplace
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom on main level; Bath in primary bedroom; Guest room; Den/office; Formal dining room; Great room; Recreation/bonus room; Double vanity; Walk-in closets; Breakfast bar; Pantry; Kitchen island; Granite counters
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Owned water softener

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $1.85M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5k ($-62k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $939k (49.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $738k (60.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $738k (60.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 2.9% vs local median 1.1% in Eagle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#18 in ID, #2,702 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Joint School District No. 2 (suburban): math 53% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #11 of 92 in ID (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Paramount Elementary School (math 81% / reading 77%, grade A, #7 of 357 statewide, top 2%, 501 students, 11% FRL); Rocky Mountain High School (math 47% / reading 76%, grade B-, #18 of 169 statewide, top 10%, 1,917 students, 8% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,129 units permitted in Ada County in 2024 (414 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $68k of equity ($13k loan paydown + $56k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Ada County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$111k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.74M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $738,400 (60.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 60% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.40%
Cap rate
2.95%
Cash-on-cash
-11.95%
DSCR
0.47
GRM
20.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$2,730,684
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1976 W Oakhampton Dr 0.52mi 4/4.5 4,766 (-4%) 1mo $3,950,000 $829 66
1948 W Oakhampton Dr 0.52mi 4/4.5 4,803 (-4%) 5mo $3,499,000 $729 64
1892 W Oakhampton Dr 0.52mi 4/4.5 4,819 (-3%) 6mo $3,325,000 $690 63
2345 S Mallard Wing Way 0.58mi 4/5.0 4,759 (-4%) 6mo $3,375,000 $709 57
2270 S Trout Stone Way 0.61mi 5/5.5 (+1) 5,111 (+3%) 0mo $2,800,000 $548 56
1923 E Golden Oak Ct 0.63mi 5/3.5 (+1) 4,768 (-4%) 1mo $1,760,000 $369 56
2124 W Clear Creek Dr 0.73mi 4/4.5 5,220 (+5%) 5mo $3,500,000 $670 52
3343 S Donnington 0.64mi 4/3.5 4,439 (-11%) 2mo $1,524,990 $344 48
1479 W Oakhampton Dr 0.57mi 4/3.5 4,348 (-13%) 3mo $1,295,000 $298 48
2279 S Trout Stone Way 0.63mi 4/3.5 4,303 (-14%) 2mo $2,350,000 $546 44
1775 E Dunwoody Ct 0.67mi 5/4.0 (+1) 4,572 (-8%) 8mo $1,380,000 $302 44
2248 S Trout Stone Way 0.63mi 4/5.0 4,366 (-12%) 4mo $2,175,000 $498 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.6%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-106,677
Equity at exit
$831,840
10-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$79,613
Equity at exit
$1,281,965

Cash invested: $518,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Idaho
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; minimal tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 83616-6781

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
20.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,384 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$9,702
Tax from tax record
$394 /mo · $4,733/yr
Insurance
$771
HOA
$125
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,551
Net cashflow
$-5,158

Break-even live

Break-even rent $13,914
Max offer price $938,733
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$462,500
Closing costs
$55,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5327 N Red Hills Pl Unit 1460932P Meridian, ID 5.0 2.5 3390 $7,384 $2.18 13d 1 0.89mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$125 · $1,500/yr

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 83 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 81 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 79 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 76 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 75 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 74 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 73 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 68 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 67 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 66 DOM
  14. 2026-05-14
    price $1,850,000
  15. 2026-03-26
    listed $1,875,000 Active
  16. 2025-08-02
    historical
  17. 2025-05-16
    status Active
  18. 2025-05-15
    historical
  19. 2025-05-02
    listed $1,899,990 Active
  20. 2006-06-09
    soldstatus
  21. 2006-06-09
    soldstatus
  22. 2006-03-20
    listed $899,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ID · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,733 · $394/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$12,765 · $1,064/mo
Expected delta
+$8,032/yr (+$669/mo · 169.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 20 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$88,608
− Mortgage interest
−$103,629
− Property taxes
−$4,733
− Insurance
−$9,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$7,089
− Management
−$7,089
− HOA
−$1,500
− Depreciation
−$53,818
Taxable loss
−$98,499
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$23,640
After-tax cash flow
$-38,262/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Joint School District No. 2
NCES district ID
1602100
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$64,573
Composite
52.42/100
National rank
#1576
State rank
#11 of 92 in ID

Livability — Eagle

Score
78/100
State rank
#18
US rank
#2702

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Eagle, ID

Population outlook (Ada County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
535,818 people
By 2030
585,751 · +9.3%
By 2040
682,435 · +27.4%
By 2050
775,818 · +44.8%
By 2075
994,458 · +85.6%
By 2100
1,148,884 · +114.4%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+105.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $1,850,000 IMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $1,875,000 IMLS
  • 2025-08-02 Listing Removed IMLS
  • 2025-05-16 Relisted IMLS
  • 2025-05-15 Listing Removed IMLS
  • 2025-05-02 Listed $1,899,990 IMLS
  • 2006-06-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-06-09 Sold (MLS) IMLS
  • 2006-03-20 Listed $899,900 IMLS

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,733 · -11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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