9 bd · 3.9 ba ·
2,292 sqft ·
Built 1998
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 230 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,528/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,019
Tax + insurance
−$642
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$951
Net cashflow
$916/mo
Annual
$10,998/yr
Cap rate
9.15%
Cash-on-cash
10.20%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$107,800
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.3-bath units multifamily listed at $385k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $916 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $305/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $385k).
It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $339k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in ND, #2,645 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+.
Grand Forks 1 (urban): math 37% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #27 of 53 in ND (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Grand Forks County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grand Forks County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $108k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 2.2% in Grand Forks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,528/mo this rent would consume 90% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 1031% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZJGZ8H1RMMPQKP
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29