Triplex
1001 N 5th St · Grand Forks, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$385,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Key facts
- Steel siding
- Newer roof
- Handicap accessible
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Multi-family residential income property; Two levels; Zoned B-3 General Business
- Construction: Multi Family structure
- Exterior features: Underground utilities
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Range; Refrigerator
- Laundry & utility: Shared/common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.3-bath units multifamily listed at $385k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $916 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $305/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $385k).
- Recommended offer: $339k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 2.2% in Grand Forks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in ND, #2,645 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+.
- Grand Forks 1 (urban): math 37% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #27 of 53 in ND (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Grand Forks County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,528/mo this rent would consume 90% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 1031% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grand Forks County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $108k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.20%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $9,889
- Equity at exit
- $57,405
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $144,374
- Equity at exit
- $33,288
Cash invested: $107,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58203
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 21.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,528 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,019
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$481 /mo · $5,775/yr
- Insurance
- −$160
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$951
- Net cashflow
- $916
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,183 | -5% $1,050 | +0% $916 | +5% $783 | +10% $650 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $559 | -5% $738 | +0% $916 | +5% $1,095 | +10% $1,274 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,110 | -0.5pp $1,014 | base $916 | +0.5pp $817 | +1.0pp $715 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 1.3 | $4,527 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.3 | $1,509 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.3 | $1,509 |
| #3 | 3 | 1.3 | $1,509 |
| Total (3 units) | $4,528 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $96,250
- Closing costs
- $11,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-02status $385,000 Pending 230 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $385,000 Active Under Contract 230 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $385,000 Active Under Contract 229 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $385,000 Active Under Contract 228 DOM
-
2026-05-05historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-10-14$385,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $54,336
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,566
- − Property taxes
- −$5,775
- − Insurance
- −$1,925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,347
- − Management
- −$4,347
- − Depreciation
- −$11,200
- Taxable income
- $5,176
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,242
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,755/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grand Forks 1
- NCES district ID
- 3808130
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,234
- Composite
- 36.39/100
- National rank
- #4681
- State rank
- #27 of 53 in ND
Livability — Grand Forks
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #2645
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grand Forks, ND
- County
- Grand Forks County · 58,851 people
- City population
- 58,851
- Metro
- Grand Forks, ND-MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,478
- Household income
- $60,474
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1031.0
Population outlook (Grand Forks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,606 people
- By 2030
- 86,489 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 99,506 · +23.4%
- By 2050
- 115,269 · +43.0%
- By 2075
- 171,303 · +112.5%
- By 2100
- 238,330 · +195.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Native American 3% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 23% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Grand Forks
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.1% · R 58.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+13.3 2016: R+18.5 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -146.25%
- Current HPI
- 183.3667
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.95%
- Metro
- Grand Forks, ND-MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Contingent — GFAAR
- 2025-10-14 Listed $385,000 GFAAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…