2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
648 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$796/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$52
Tax + insurance
−$140
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$167
Net cashflow
$437/mo
Annual
$5,239/yr
Cap rate
73.71%
Cash-on-cash
240.76%
DSCR
11.71
1% rule
7.96%
Cash to close
$2,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $437 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($796 rent vs $10k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($10k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $10k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $466 of equity ($69 loan paydown + $397 appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#130 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Covington County (rural): math 27% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #32 of 129 in AL (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ws Harlan Elementary School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #213 of 627 statewide, top 37%, 331 students, 72% FRL); Straughn Middle School (math 35% / reading 62%, grade C-, #28 of 257 statewide, top 11%, 318 students, 65% FRL); Florala High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #90 of 305 statewide, top 35%, 218 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 52% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Covington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Covington County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZNJQX1CWP3JYHE
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29