2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,092 sqft ·
Built 1987
· Townhouse
· Active
· 244 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,778/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,148
Tax + insurance
−$365
HOA
−$295
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$373
Net cashflow
$-404/mo
Annual
$-4,842/yr
Cap rate
4.08%
Cash-on-cash
-7.90%
DSCR
0.65
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$61,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $219k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-404 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (26.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (18.8% below list).
It's been on market 244 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $161k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#26 in NC, #2,502 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools (urban): math 42% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #85 of 178 in NC (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mcalpine Elementary (math 62% / reading 60%, grade B, #196 of 1,410 statewide, top 14%, 564 students, 24% FRL); Jay M. Robinson Middle (math 81% / reading 78%, grade A+, #9 of 475 statewide, top 2%, 1,305 students, 10% FRL); Providence High School (math 89% / reading 88%, grade A, #47 of 535 statewide, top 9%, 2,048 students, 11% FRL) — zoned schools average 15% FRL vs 49% district-wide (34 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 76% at this address vs 44% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 612 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 61% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 11,969 units permitted in Mecklenburg County in 2024 (5,377 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mecklenburg County population projected at +53% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 3.2% in Charlotte — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($129k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 244 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZNZC2A71GAQ930
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29