3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,032 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,435/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$275
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$301
Net cashflow
$-6/mo
Annual
$-74/yr
Cap rate
6.25%
Cash-on-cash
-0.16%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$46,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6 ($-74/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (0.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (13.0% below list).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $143k (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#26 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Huntsville School District (rural): math 35% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #141 of 238 in AR (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Huntsville Middle School (math 47% / reading 41%, grade D, #65 of 201 statewide, top 34%, 472 students, 67% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 44% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Huntsville School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.9% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZQ3HG802W3V7SG
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29