2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,180 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Townhouse
· Active
· 61 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,761/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,023
Tax + insurance
−$255
HOA
−$130
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$370
Net cashflow
$-16/mo
Annual
$-197/yr
Cap rate
6.19%
Cash-on-cash
-0.36%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$54,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-197/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $192k (1.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (9.7% below list).
It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $176k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#43 in KS, #3,248 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Shawnee Mission Pub Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #22 of 169 in KS (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Merriam Park Elementary (math 29% / reading 39%, grade F, #416 of 684 statewide, top 61%, 431 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 29% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,969 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (1,066 in 5+ unit buildings).
Johnson County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.9% in Merriam — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZQKYB7FREGEJAK
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29