2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,050 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Townhouse
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,602/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$267
HOA
−$255
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$336
Net cashflow
$-95/mo
Annual
$-1,138/yr
Cap rate
5.58%
Cash-on-cash
-2.54%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $160k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-95 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (8.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $146k (8.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#427 in PA, #3,987 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, employment F.
Central York SD (suburban): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #244 of 539 in PA (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hayshire El Sch (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,180 of 1,518 statewide, top 80%, 509 students, 63% FRL); Central York Ms (math 21% / reading 59%, grade F, #257 of 512 statewide, top 52%, 881 students, 45% FRL); Central York Hs (math 61% / reading 74%, grade B, #59 of 437 statewide, top 14%, 1,807 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 24% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— The cabinets are dated and could be replaced for a fresh look.
Minor: Kitchen tile floor
— The tile floor is dated and could be replaced for a more modern look.
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— The fixtures are dated and could be replaced for a more modern look.
Minor: Bathroom cabinetry
— The cabinetry is dated and could be replaced for a more modern look.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZRAENGBFY9AAP7
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29