17 bd · 16.9 ba ·
16,588 sqft ·
Built 1929
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 135 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$46,456/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$28,580
Tax + insurance
−$9,083
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$9,756
Net cashflow
$-963/mo
Annual
$-11,562/yr
Cap rate
6.08%
Cash-on-cash
-0.76%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$1,526,000
Investor read
This is a 13 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $5.45M. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-963 ($-12k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-74/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $5.31M (2.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $4.65M (14.8% below list).
It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($4.80M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $4.65M (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $177k of equity ($38k loan paydown + $139k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Third Street Elementary (662 students, 23% FRL); John Burroughs Middle (reading 39%, 1,373 students, 82% FRL); Fairfax Senior High (math 40% / reading 61%, grade D+, #324 of 1,170 statewide, top 28%, 1,632 students, 81% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $1.96M; list at $5.45M implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$443k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29