2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,025 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Condo
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,712/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$433
HOA
−$542
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$570
Net cashflow
$-117/mo
Annual
$-1,407/yr
Cap rate
5.72%
Cash-on-cash
-2.05%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (8.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $224k (8.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#415 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Jerry Thomas Elementary School (math 60% / reading 67%, grade B, #564 of 2,144 statewide, top 27%, 718 students, 41% FRL); Independence Middle School (math 71% / reading 67%, grade A, #68 of 571 statewide, top 12%, 1,166 students, 25% FRL); Jupiter High School (math 56% / reading 64%, grade C+, #106 of 667 statewide, top 16%, 3,087 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 31% FRL vs 52% district-wide (21 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 64% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Palm Beach average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 325 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $245k implies a 278% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.7% in Jupiter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZRH83X5BN5E2VW
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29