2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built 2018
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 84 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,163/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$199
Tax + insurance
−$63
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$244
Net cashflow
$656/mo
Annual
$7,870/yr
Cap rate
27.00%
Cash-on-cash
73.96%
DSCR
4.29
1% rule
3.06%
Cash to close
$10,640
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $38k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $656 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $38k).
It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $36k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $263 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#410 in MD) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, employment B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Beall Elementary (math 19% / reading 30%, grade F, #260 of 860 statewide, top 33%, 451 students, 63% FRL); Mount Savage Middle (math 15% / reading 38%, grade F, #86 of 225 statewide, top 40%, 425 students, 54% FRL); Mountain Ridge High School (math 32% / reading 72%, grade D+, #100 of 222 statewide, top 47%, 736 students, 48% FRL).
Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exposed subfloor in kitchen and bath
— Structural damage requiring full replacement
Major: Missing cabinets in kitchen and bath
— Structural damage requiring full replacement
Major: Debris on floor in kitchen and bath
— Structural damage requiring full replacement
Major: Missing windows
— Structural damage requiring full replacement
Major: Worn siding
— Structural damage requiring full replacement
Major: Debris on ground
— Structural damage requiring full replacement
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZSKMKTFY8YZNN3
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29