3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,528 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 217 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,148/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$414
Tax + insurance
−$159
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$241
Net cashflow
$334/mo
Annual
$4,005/yr
Cap rate
12.21%
Cash-on-cash
21.12%
DSCR
1.94
1% rule
1.45%
Cash to close
$22,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $79k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $334 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#85 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Taylor County Schools (town): math 27% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #22 of 55 in WV (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: West Taylor Elementary School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #23 of 377 statewide, top 7%, 283 students, 0% FRL); Taylor County Middle School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #66 of 109 statewide, top 63%, 685 students, 0% FRL); Grafton High School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #55 of 110 statewide, top 59%, 620 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP.
Taylor County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $55k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 4.1% in Grafton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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