3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,700 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,350/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$292
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$284
Net cashflow
$-143/mo
Annual
$-1,715/yr
Cap rate
5.31%
Cash-on-cash
-3.50%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-143 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (11.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (22.9% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $135k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Montabella Community Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #396 of 540 in MI (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Montabella Elementary (math 21% / reading 30%, grade F, #974 of 1,397 statewide, top 70%, 363 students, 71% FRL); Montabella Juniorsenior High (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #441 of 713 statewide, top 64%, 382 students, 63% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 273 units permitted in Montcalm County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montcalm County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
10 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $175k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZTPZ4V7SRW98GB
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29