3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
984 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 59 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,111/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$366
HOA
−$18
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$443
Net cashflow
$-27/mo
Annual
$-326/yr
Cap rate
6.16%
Cash-on-cash
-0.47%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$69,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-27 ($-326/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (1.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (15.5% below list).
It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $211k (15.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#371 in PA, #3,219 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $37k; list at $250k implies a 575% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.5% in Tunkhannock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZVRGJ57Z0R0NQS
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29