2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
848 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 54 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$869/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$103
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$183
Net cashflow
$60/mo
Annual
$719/yr
Cap rate
7.01%
Cash-on-cash
2.57%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($719/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $87k (13.1% below list).
It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#250 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, crime F.
North Powder SD 8J (rural): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #54 of 58 in OR (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Union County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZWVN65EV6KVQXQ
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29