4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,386 sqft ·
Built 1900
· Other
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,750/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$886
Tax + insurance
−$116
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$368
Net cashflow
$380/mo
Annual
$4,560/yr
Cap rate
8.99%
Cash-on-cash
9.64%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$47,320
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $169k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $380 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $166k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#217 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
Farmington R-VII (town): math 41% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #93 of 324 in MO (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Farmington Sr. High (math 56% / reading 63%, grade C+, #35 of 521 statewide, top 8%, 1,274 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 60% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Farmington R-VII average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 134 units permitted in St. Francois County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.8% in Farmington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZWXGJM0Z017676
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29