2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
856 sqft ·
Built 1953
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 65 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$859/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$79
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$180
Net cashflow
$181/mo
Annual
$2,167/yr
Cap rate
9.00%
Cash-on-cash
9.68%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $181 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($859 rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#422 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, crime D+.
North Daviess Community Schools (rural): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #157 of 301 in IN (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: North Daviess Elementary School (math 37% / reading 44%, grade F, #491 of 994 statewide, top 50%, 637 students, 48% FRL); North Daviess Jr-Sr High School (math 26% / reading 48%, grade F, #247 of 369 statewide, top 70%, 471 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 31% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 71 units permitted in Daviess County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Daviess County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (6.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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