1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
543 sqft ·
Built 2010
· Manufactured
· Active
· 65 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$308
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$630
Net cashflow
$1,092/mo
Annual
$13,100/yr
Cap rate
13.37%
Cash-on-cash
25.29%
DSCR
2.13
1% rule
1.62%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $174k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#54 in CA, #2,026 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
San Dieguito Union High (urban): math 72% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #56 of 1,400 in CA (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 205 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 1.6% in Encinitas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZXF7KQ1AATH9RZ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29