3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,551 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,170/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$137
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$246
Net cashflow
$-51/mo
Annual
$-618/yr
Cap rate
5.91%
Cash-on-cash
-1.38%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-51 ($-618/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $151k (5.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (26.9% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $117k (26.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#165 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Walters (town): math 22% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #122 of 270 in OK (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Walters Es (math 37% / reading 27%, grade F, #213 of 845 statewide, top 28%, 274 students, 0% FRL); Walters Ms (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #193 of 345 statewide, top 60%, 140 students, 0% FRL); Walters Hs (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #274 of 447 statewide, top 66%, 196 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP.
Cotton County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $160k implies a 146% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZXHDEB9QA8ZNS9
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29