3604 Wartrace Dr

South Fulton, GA 30331

$359,000D

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,452 sqft · Built 2021 · SingleFamily · Active · 50 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,773/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,883
• Tax + insurance: −$527
• HOA: −$46
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$582
• Net cashflow: $-265/mo
• Annual: $-3,181/yr
• Cap rate: 5.41%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.16%
• DSCR: 0.86
• 1% rule: 0.77%
• Cash to close: $100,520

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $359k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-265 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $312k (13.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $277k (22.7% below list).
• It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($348k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $277k (22.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Wolf Creek Elementary (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #633 of 1,228 statewide, top 54%, 797 students, 56% FRL); Sandtown Middle School (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #249 of 470 statewide, top 55%, 1,057 students, 57% FRL); Westlake High School (math 27% / reading 5%, grade F, #287 of 424 statewide, top 68%, 2,461 students, 43% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-26 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fulton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 727 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 68d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 12 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• At $2,773/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.