32 bd · 16.0 ba ·
3,422 sqft ·
Built 1986
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,873/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,802
Tax + insurance
−$725
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,233
Net cashflow
$113/mo
Annual
$1,356/yr
Cap rate
6.48%
Cash-on-cash
0.67%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$203,000
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $725k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive. Per door: $28/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $587k (19.0% below list).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($714k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $587k (19.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#195 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Chico Unified (urban): math 40% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #117 of 517 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Rosedale Elementary (543 students, 53% FRL); Bidwell Junior High (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 990 students, 57% FRL); Pleasant Valley High (math 54% / reading 80%, grade B, #139 of 1,170 statewide, top 13%, 1,840 students, 46% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 946 units permitted in Butte County in 2024 (254 in 5+ unit buildings).
Butte County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $340k; list at $725k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.6% in Chico — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,873/mo this rent would consume 76% of the median local household income ($93k/yr) (locally 1230% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZXW4DYBKN3ZFCV
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29