4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,700/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,625
Tax + insurance
−$212
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$567
Net cashflow
$296/mo
Annual
$3,546/yr
Cap rate
7.44%
Cash-on-cash
4.09%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$86,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $310k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $270k (12.9% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $270k (12.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#86 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Fayette County (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #7 of 174 in GA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Spring Hill Elementary School (math 39% / reading 42%, grade F, #419 of 1,228 statewide, top 35%, 655 students, 63% FRL); Bennett'S Mill Middle School (math 24% / reading 51%, grade F, #162 of 470 statewide, top 35%, 891 students, 53% FRL); Fayette County High School (math 15% / reading 42%, grade F, #149 of 424 statewide, top 35%, 1,368 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 21% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 56% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fayette County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 323 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fayette County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $95k; list at $310k implies a 227% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.3% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZY0QX9FEHK0S9V
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29