2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,273 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Townhouse
· Active
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,843/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$372
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$387
Net cashflow
$-43/mo
Annual
$-513/yr
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.85%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-43 ($-513/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (3.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (14.3% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $184k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#243 in NY, #3,822 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, health & safety D-.
Canandaigua City School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #305 of 590 in NY (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Canandaigua Primary-Elementary School (math 37% / reading 49%, grade F, #1,354 of 2,108 statewide, top 64%, 1,475 students, 41% FRL); Canandaigua Middle School (math 38% / reading 55%, grade D+, #330 of 729 statewide, top 46%, 676 students, 0% FRL); Canandaigua Academy (math 100% / reading 92%, grade A+, #71 of 1,100 statewide, top 7%, 1,082 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 26% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 284 units permitted in Ontario County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ontario County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask is 8% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $112k; list at $215k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.1% in Canandaigua — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZY8V339BCR0JQ6
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29