3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,324 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Coming Soon
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,216/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,415
Tax + insurance
−$269
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$465
Net cashflow
$67/mo
Annual
$798/yr
Cap rate
6.88%
Cash-on-cash
2.11%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$75,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $67 ($798/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (17.9% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $222k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#171 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Rutherford County (suburban): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #22 of 139 in TN (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Rock Springs Elementary (math 38% / reading 34%, grade F, #305 of 952 statewide, top 32%, 1,189 students, 0% FRL); Stewarts Creek High School (math 12% / reading 54%, grade F, #54 of 332 statewide, top 16%, 2,391 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 36% district-wide (36 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,421 units permitted in Rutherford County in 2024 (400 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rutherford County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.7% in La Vergne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZY995ZDNC1DFBD
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29