5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,103 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,187/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,779
Tax + insurance
−$600
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$879
Net cashflow
$-71/mo
Annual
$-850/yr
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.57%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$148,372
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $530k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-71 ($-850/yr) — negative. Per door: $-35/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $517k (2.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $419k (21.0% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $419k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#1 in RI, #323 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+.
Cranston (suburban): math 16% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #23 of 39 in RI (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Stadium School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #106 of 167 statewide, top 66%, 229 students, 60% FRL); Hugh B. Bain Middle School (math 6% / reading 12%, grade F, #46 of 57 statewide, top 80%, 561 students, 68% FRL); Cranston High School East (math 14% / reading 40%, grade F, #34 of 58 statewide, top 58%, 1,499 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 33% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.2% in Cranston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,187/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($91k/yr) (locally 480% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29