3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
20,428 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 61 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$28,164/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$13,766
Tax + insurance
−$4,375
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$5,914
Net cashflow
$4,109/mo
Annual
$49,305/yr
Cap rate
8.17%
Cash-on-cash
6.71%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$735,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $2.62M. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($49k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($28k rent vs $2.62M).
It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($2.47M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $2.47M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $97k of equity ($18k loan paydown + $79k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#32 in CT, #2,205 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D.
Waterbury School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #148 of 153 in CT (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Bunker Hill School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #490 of 553 statewide, top 90%, 468 students, 76% FRL); West Side Middle School (math 8% / reading 23%, grade F, #165 of 175 statewide, top 94%, 817 students, 81% FRL); John F. Kennedy High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #147 of 194 statewide, top 78%, 1,297 students, 79% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $735k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$158k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.5% in Waterbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $28,164/mo this rent would consume 2335% of the median local household income ($14k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29