3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,080 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,271/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$275
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$267
Net cashflow
$-136/mo
Annual
$-1,631/yr
Cap rate
5.30%
Cash-on-cash
-3.53%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-136 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (11.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (22.9% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $127k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#438 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
South Spencer County School Corporation (rural): math 46% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #58 of 301 in IN (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Luce Elementary School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #237 of 994 statewide, top 26%, 189 students, 38% FRL); South Spencer Middle School (math 39% / reading 52%, grade D+, #79 of 330 statewide, top 24%, 228 students, 56% FRL); South Spencer High School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #64 of 369 statewide, top 18%, 357 students, 44% FRL).
Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Spencer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Spencer County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— No visible roof in the satellite image, suggesting potential structural issues.
Major: exterior
— No visible exterior in the satellite image, suggesting potential siding and structural issues.
Major: interior walls/paint
— No visible interior walls or paint in the satellite image, suggesting potential drywall and painting issues.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No visible HVAC or mechanicals in the satellite image, suggesting potential heating and cooling issues.
Major: landscaping/curb appeal
— No visible landscaping or curb appeal in the satellite image, suggesting potential landscaping and curb appeal issues.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZZMPZB5W4MS90J
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29