3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 2009
· Land
· Active
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,060/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$700
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$433
Net cashflow
$-109/mo
Annual
$-1,306/yr
Cap rate
5.42%
Cash-on-cash
-3.11%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
1.37%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-109 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $134k (10.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $134k (10.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#121 in CA, #4,255 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, amenities B; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, cost of living F.
Hanford Joint Union High (urban): math 20% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #765 of 1,400 in CA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 430 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 741 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).
48 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 316% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $34k; list at $150k implies a 341% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.9% in Hanford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZZZRSS8F3Q4ZN3
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29