4716 Free Ferry Rd · Fort Smith, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bedroom, 2 bath home located on 1 acre on Free Ferry! This home features a formal dining room, eat-in kitchen, sunroom and a den and is ready for you to make it your own!
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Sunroom
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2 covered parking spaces; Asphalt driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family house; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Metal siding; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Sloped lot; Paved public road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.3% in Fort Smith — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Fort Smith School District (urban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #106 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Euper Lane Elementary School (math 51% / reading 53%, grade C-, #77 of 454 statewide, top 19%, 389 students, 58% FRL); L. A. Chaffin Jr. High School (math 53% / reading 65%, grade B, #13 of 201 statewide, top 7%, 725 students, 54% FRL); Northside High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #239 of 292 statewide, top 85%, 2,433 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools at 62% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.83%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $241,800
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5216 Free Ferry Rd | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 2,003 (-1%) | 8mo | $330,000 | $165 | 84 |
| 5220 Free Ferry Rd | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 2,049 (+2%) | 10mo | $369,927 | $181 | 80 |
| 4820 Park Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 | 1,879 (-7%) | 12mo | $267,000 | $142 | 66 |
| 5420 Free Ferry Rd | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,814 (-10%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $96 | 61 |
| 4528 Park Ave | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,072 (+3%) | 23mo | $189,000 | $91 | 56 |
| 3815 Free Ferry Ln | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 | 2,108 (+5%) | 9mo | $253,000 | $120 | 51 |
| 1400 S 40th St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,748 (-13%) | 20mo | $198,900 | $114 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-6,001
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $27,492
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72903
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,575 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$156 /mo · $1,868/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $239
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1331 S 46th St Fort Smith, AR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1075 | $1,150 | $1.07 | 13d | 6 | 0.29mi |
| 400 Lincoln Ln Fort Smith, AR | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1425 | $1,182 | $0.83 | 13d | 16 | 0.56mi |
| 1306 S 41st St Fort Smith, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2295 | $1,700 | $0.74 | 13d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 406 Rockefeller Pl Fort Smith, AR | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1800 | $1,699 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 6014 Park Ave Fort Smith, AR | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2615 | $2,300 | $0.88 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5700 Grand Ave Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1605 | $1,500 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 60 Jeffrey Way Unit 1 Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1772 | $1,900 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 17 Jeffrey Way Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1554 | $1,850 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3101 Park Ave Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1634 | $1,650 | $1.01 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-18$150,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,868 · $156/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,868 · $156/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,895
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,868
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,512
- − Management
- −$1,512
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $488
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$117
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,753/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Smith School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506330
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,066
- Composite
- 30.66/100
- National rank
- #6183
- State rank
- #106 of 238 in AR
Livability — Fort Smith
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #151
- US rank
- #13185
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Smith, AR
- County
- Sebastian County · 99,312 people
- City population
- 94,356
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,242
- Household income
- $61,434
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1009.0
Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 133,992 people
- By 2030
- 136,620 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 140,832 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 143,301 · +6.9%
- By 2075
- 147,964 · +10.4%
- By 2100
- 145,848 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Black 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Vietnamese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -183.19%
- Current HPI
- 201.125
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.90%
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $150,000 WRVBOR
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2022): $1,868 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…